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Bundesliga · MW5 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, BerlinRef: Tobias Reichel
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg result, stats and report

Union Berlin
Won · xG 1.65
1 – 0
FT 04:25
Lost · xG 0.25
Elversberg
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln · Sun 1 Nov · Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 · Fri 30 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Union BerlinElversbergBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Elversberg win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Union Berlin
31.5%
Draw
26.8%
ELV
41.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.2%
Over 2.5 goals
54.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Elversberg win was the highest probability; the match result was Union Berlin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
27%
42%
31.5%Union Berlin
26.8%Draw
41.7%ELV

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.2%No 43.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.6%No 45.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ELV or draw at 50.4%; the most likely half-time state is ELV leading at half-time at 38.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.5%.

Double Chance

1X
42.2%
12
7.5%
X2
50.4%

Half-Time Result

Union Berlin
24.4%
Draw
36.9%
ELV
38.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Union Berlin
Draw
ELV
Union Berlin
16.1%
4.3%
4.1%
Draw
9.5%
13.8%
13.6%
ELV
1.9%
6.0%
30.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.