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Bundesliga · MW8

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Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
30 Oct
ELV 26%Draw 21%FSV Mainz 05 52%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05?

Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

FSV Mainz 05 has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
ELV26.3%
Draw21.2%
BTTS yes64.9%

Updated

Over 2.569.1%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
5.9
xG · 5/6
11
Goals
6.1
xGA
Last 6 matches
14.4
xG for
15▲ +0.6
Goals
10.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
ElversbergNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Elversberg recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.25
2D01.16
3L11.03
4W4Unavailable
5W31.25
6W32.24
FSV Mainz 05Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

FSV Mainz 05 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L32.72
2W42.85
3L12.41
4W52.71
5D00.82
6W22.86
FSV Mainz 05 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 8.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Elversberg generated 5.9 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 7, 1.1 above that chance total. FSV Mainz 05 generated 14.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 0.6 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

ELV: 6 matches · FSV Mainz 05: 6
Recent team comparison. Elversberg sample 6; FSV Mainz 05 sample 6.
MeasureElversbergFSV Mainz 05
Goals / game1.832.5
Conceded / game1.331.67
xG / game1.182.4
xG conceded / game1.221.77
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 5 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:30
ELV11 starters
20Kristof
31Rohr
19Pinckert
43Keidel
21Günther
30Gyamerah
8Poreba
10Conté
23Sickinger
25Petkov
29Zimmerschied
FSV Mainz 0511 starters
27Zentner
22Veratschnig
2Mwene
48Potulski
4Posch
21Costa
6Sano
10Amiri
7Lee
20Tietz
11Sieb
Out / doubtful
🩹 Paul Nebel injury · 🩹 Phillipp Mwene injury · 🩹 Silvan Widmer injury · 🩹 Dominik Kohr injury · 🩹 Maxim Leitsch injury · 🩹 Silas injury · 🩹 Robin Zentner injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
    Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 takes place on Friday 30 October at 19:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga.
  • How can I watch Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 30 Oct, 19:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.