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Bundesliga · MW5 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, BerlinRef: Tobias Reichel
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg result, stats and report

Union Berlin
Won · xG 1.65
1 – 0
FT 04:25
Lost · xG 0.25
Elversberg
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln · Sun 1 Nov · Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 · Fri 30 Oct
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Who won Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Union Berlin won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 04:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg

Union Berlin arrive at this fixture leaking goals and carrying the wounds of a 0-4 hammering by Leverkusen. Elversberg roll in having won both their Bundesliga matches and they are not interested in being polite guests.

Key Takeaways
Result

Union Berlin beat Elversberg 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Union Berlin 1.65 to Elversberg 0.25 on expected goals.

First Goal
L
81'⚽
Livan Burcu
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin 1.65 xGElversberg 0.25 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Elversberg to win

42%Missed

Result

Union Berlin1:0Elversberg

Union Berlin v ELV

Our model leaned Elversberg to win at 42%. Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

The match kicks off at 13:30 UTC on October 10th, 2026, at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Union Berlin have won just once in their last five, losing four, while Elversberg have drawn three of their last five outings. Both sides show elevated BTTS rates, with Union at 60% and Elversberg at 80% over recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Union Berlin v Elversberg · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lukas PinckertELV★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Zeno Van Den Bosch90 min7.6
  3. Livan BurcuUnion Berlin1 goal · 32 min7.3
  4. Frederik RönnowUnion Berlin90 min7.3
  5. Nicolas KristofELV90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Elversberg win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Union Berlin
31.5%
Draw
26.8%
ELV
41.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.2%
Over 2.5 goals
54.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Elversberg win was the highest probability; the match result was Union Berlin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Elversberg, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Union Berlin, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Elversberg, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 1 comparable match from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Union Berlin, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 12league matches at home winless for Union Berlin.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Elversberg.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Union Berlin scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Union Berlin have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Oliver Burke has the highest listed average xGOT for Union Berlin at 0.55 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Maurice Krattenmacher has the highest listed average xGOT for Elversberg at 1.43 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Union Berlin vs Elversberg?
    Union Berlin beat ELV 1-0 in the Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Livan Burcu opened the scoring in the 81st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Livan Burcu (81').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tobias Reichel officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Union Berlin vs ELV kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Union Berlin play 1. FC Köln on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time. ELV play Elversberg on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.