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Major League SoccerRef: Filip Dujic
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Toronto 2-1 Nashville SC result, stats and report

Toronto
Won · xG 2.42
2 – 1
FT 21:35
Lost · xG 0.84
Nashville SC
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Toronto v Orlando City · Thu 15 Oct · Nashville SC v Sporting KC · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Toronto vs Nashville SC?

Toronto 2-1 Nashville SC, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

TOR won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 21:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Toronto 2–1 Nashville SC

Nashville SC arrive at BMO Field as the dominant force in the Eastern Conference, while Toronto sit 12th with an xG deficit that tells a troubling story. Updated 21 days out with early season form and league context.

Key Takeaways
Result

Toronto beat Nashville SC 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Toronto 2.42 to Nashville SC 0.84 on expected goals.

First Goal
D
72'⚽
Dániel Sallói
TAssist: Theo Corbeanu
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Toronto 2.42 xGNashville SC 0.84 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Nashville SC to win

44%Missed

Result

Toronto2:1Nashville SC

TOR v NSH

Our model leaned Nashville SC to win at 44%. Toronto 2-1 Nashville SC. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Toronto defeated Nashville SC 2-1 in MLS play, a result that saw our model's pick for a Nashville victory at 44 percent probability miss the mark. Toronto, who had managed one win, three draws and one loss across their previous five matches, proved the more clinical side on the day. Both teams found the net, continuing a pattern where Toronto had registered both-teams-to-score in 60 percent of recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Toronto v Nashville SC · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Richie Laryea★ MOTM90 min7.5
  2. Elias Saad66 min6.8
  3. Derrick Etienne Jr.90 min6.8
  4. Patrick Yazbek16 min6.6
  5. Niklas Dorsch70 min6.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Nashville SC win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TOR
27.1%
Draw
29.0%
NSH
43.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
44.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Nashville SC win was the highest probability; the match result was Toronto win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Toronto and Nashville SC, landing 2 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (63.6%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 18league matches at home unbeaten for Toronto.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9league matches away from home unbeaten for Nashville SC.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toronto scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nashville SC scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toronto have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nashville SC have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Niklas Dorsch has the highest listed average xGOT for Toronto at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sam Surridge has the highest listed average xGOT for Nashville SC at 0.79 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Toronto vs Nashville SC?
    TOR beat NSH 2-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Niklas Dorsch opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Niklas Dorsch (3', og), Dániel Sallói (72'), Emilio Aristizábal (93').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Filip Dujic officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    TOR vs NSH kicked off on Thursday, 10 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    TOR play Toronto on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time. NSH play Nashville SC on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.