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Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Richard Hempel
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05 result, stats and report

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Lost · xG 0.36
0 – 1
FT 02:55
FSV Mainz 05
Won · xG 0.98
FSV Mainz 05
Match review
Next: 1899 Hoffenheim v Schalke 04 · Sun 8 Nov · FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

FSV Mainz 05 won it 1–0

S04FSV Mainz 05

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz's 24th-minute finish was enough for FSV Mainz 05 to take all three points at Schalke 04, with the visitors holding firm despite Schalke dominating possession and creating more chances across the ninety minutes.

BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

FSV Mainz 05 won 1-0 away at Schalke 04.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
P
24'⚽
Phillip Tietz
AAssist: Anthony Caci
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Schalke 04 0.36 xGFSV Mainz 05 0.98 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

FSV Mainz 05 to win

47%Matched

Result

Schalke 040:1FSV Mainz 05

S04 v FSV Mainz 05

Our model called FSV Mainz 05 to win at 47%. Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Our model backs FSV Mainz 05 to win at the Veltins-Arena on 17 October at 13:30 UTC, assigning the away side 47% probability. Schalke have won three of their last five but both sides show attacking intent; Schalke registered BTTS in 80% of recent matches while Mainz arrive unbeaten in five games with four wins. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Phillip TietzFSV Mainz 05★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.6
  2. Alexander SchwolowFSV Mainz 0590 min7.5
  3. Loris KariusS0490 min7.4
  4. Stefan PoschFSV Mainz 0590 min7.4
  5. Jae-sung LeeFSV Mainz 0576 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives FSV Mainz 05 win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

S04
28.5%
Draw
24.6%
FSV Mainz 05
47.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.6%
Over 2.5 goals
57.6%

Full-time forecast audit: FSV Mainz 05 win was the highest probability; the match result was FSV Mainz 05 win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For FSV Mainz 05, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 32 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For FSV Mainz 05, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Schalke 04, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 32 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Schalke 04, the final recorded goal situation matched 15 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05, landing 3 times across 19 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6/19recorded league meetings saw both teams score (31.6%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 9league matches at home unbeaten for Schalke 04.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 11league matches away from home unbeaten for FSV Mainz 05.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Schalke 04 scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FSV Mainz 05 scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
    FSV Mainz 05 beat S04 1-0 in the Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Phillip Tietz opened the scoring in the 24th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Phillip Tietz (24').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Richard Hempel officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    S04 vs FSV Mainz 05 kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    S04 play 1899 Hoffenheim on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. FSV Mainz 05 play Bayern München on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.