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Bundesliga · MW9 MEWA ARENA, Mainz

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back FSV Mainz 05 or Bayern München?

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. The match is at MEWA ARENA, Mainz. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with FSV Mainz 05 winning 0, Bayern München winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
14.4
xG for
15▲ +0.6
Goals
10.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
16.0
xG for
21▲ +5.0
Goals
4.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
FSV Mainz 05Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

FSV Mainz 05 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L32.72
2W42.85
3L12.41
4W52.71
5D00.82
6W22.86
Bayern MünchenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bayern München recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D25.36
2W72.98
3W22.38
4W52.46
5D01.31
6W51.48
FSV Mainz 05 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 8.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
FSV Mainz 05 generated 14.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 0.6 above that chance total. Bayern München generated 16.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 21, 5.0 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

FSV Mainz 05: 6 matches · Bayern München: 6
Recent team comparison. FSV Mainz 05 sample 6; Bayern München sample 6.
MeasureFSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Goals / game2.53.5
Conceded / game1.670.67
xG / game2.42.67
xG conceded / game1.770.72
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:30
FSV Mainz 0511 starters
27Zentner
22Veratschnig
2Mwene
48Potulski
4Posch
21Costa
6Sano
10Amiri
7Lee
20Tietz
11Sieb
Bayern München11 starters
1Neuer
2Upamecano
34Ofli
19Davies
4Tah
45Pavlovic
6Kimmich
11Jackson
17Olise
14Díaz
9Kane
Out / doubtful
🩹 Paul Nebel injury · 🩹 Phillipp Mwene injury · 🩹 Silvan Widmer injury · 🩹 Dominik Kohr injury · 🩹 Maxim Leitsch injury · 🩹 Silas injury · 🩹 Robin Zentner injury · 🩹 Konrad Laimer injury · 🩹 Jamal Musiala injury · 🩹 Manuel Neuer injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 12 Oct 2026, 02:50 BST

Mainz's Injury Crisis Makes Bayern's Visit Look Ominous

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München on Saturday carrying a worrying injury list and inconsistent form. The visitors arrive unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga matches and will fancy their chances.

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
    FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München takes place on Saturday 7 November at 14:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga at MEWA ARENA, Mainz.
  • What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
    In their last 2 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, Bayern München won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 7 Nov, 14:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.