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Major League SoccerRef: Filip Dujic
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United result, stats and report

Portland Timbers
Won · xG 2.34
5 – 4
FT 02:45
Lost · xG 1.38
Minnesota United
Next: LA Galaxy v Portland Timbers · Thu 15 Oct · Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?

Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Portland Timbers to win, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Minnesota United won it.

How it played out

POT won it 5–4

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 02:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United

Vincent Janssen scored three times as Portland Timbers edged out Minnesota United 5-4 in a chaotic, end-to-end Major League Soccer contest that had absolutely no business finishing with a clean sheet. It did not.

Key Takeaways
Result

Portland Timbers beat Minnesota United 5-4 at home.

Goals

9 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Portland Timbers 2.34 to Minnesota United 1.38 on expected goals.

First Goal
V
26'⚽
Vincent Janssen2 goals in match
DAssist: David Da Costa
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Portland Timbers 2.34 xGMinnesota United 1.38 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Portland Timbers to win

46%Matched

Result

Portland Timbers5:4Minnesota United

POT v MIN

Our model called Portland Timbers to win at 46%. Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Portland Timbers edged Minnesota United 5-4 in a high-scoring Major League Soccer encounter. Our model backed Portland at 46 percent probability, and the pick landed. Both teams arrived in poor form; Portland had won one of their last five while Minnesota showed two wins across the same span. The fixture delivered on its attacking promise, with both sides finding the net in a pattern consistent with their recent tendency to play in open, high-scoring matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Portland Timbers v Minnesota United · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Vincent Janssen★ MOTM3 goals · 68 min9.6
  2. Carlos Harvey1 assist · 2 min7.2
  3. Maurice Malone12 min6.6
  4. Joel Waterman9 min6.2
  5. Michael Boxall90 min6.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Portland Timbers win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

POT
45.6%
Draw
24.6%
MIN
29.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.9%
Over 2.5 goals
58.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Portland Timbers win was the highest probability; the match result was Portland Timbers win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 3-2is the most common scoreline between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, landing 4 times across 19 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 13/19recorded league meetings saw both teams score (68.4%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 33league matches at home unbeaten for Portland Timbers.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Minnesota United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Minnesota United scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Portland Timbers have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Minnesota United have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alex Bonetig has the highest listed average xGOT for Portland Timbers at 0.31 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kelvin Yeboah has the highest listed average xGOT for Minnesota United at 0.61 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?
    POT beat MIN 5-4 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Vincent Janssen opened the scoring in the 11th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Vincent Janssen (11'), Drake Callender (20', og), Vincent Janssen (26'), Marcus Caldeira (32'), Anthony Markanich Jr. (37'), Marcus Caldeira (50'), Vincent Janssen (55'), Kristoffer Velde (71'), Tomás Chancalay (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Filip Dujic officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    POT vs MIN kicked off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Portland Timbers to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    POT play LA Galaxy on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time. MIN play Colorado Rapids on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.