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Major League SoccerRef: Filip Dujic
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United result, stats and report

Portland Timbers
Won · xG 2.34
5 – 4
FT 02:45
Lost · xG 1.38
Minnesota United
Next: LA Galaxy v Portland Timbers · Thu 15 Oct · Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Portland TimbersMinnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Portland Timbers win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

POT
45.6%
Draw
24.6%
MIN
29.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.9%
Over 2.5 goals
58.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Portland Timbers win was the highest probability; the match result was Portland Timbers win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
25%
30%
45.6%POT
24.6%Draw
29.8%MIN

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.9%No 40.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates POT or draw at 54.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.3%.

Double Chance

1X
54.6%
12
5.6%
X2
39.9%

Half-Time Result

POT
35.4%
Draw
37.1%
MIN
27.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
POT
Draw
MIN
POT
28.4%
5.4%
3.6%
Draw
14.9%
13.0%
9.5%
MIN
3.5%
5.8%
16.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.3%
No
90.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.