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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW22Ref: Erik Mattsson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Örgryte 1-2 Sirius result, stats and report

Örgryte
Lost · xG 0.95
1 – 2
FT 06:15
Won · xG 0.68
Sirius
Next: Djurgården v Örgryte · Sat 24 Oct · Sirius v AIK · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ÖrgryteSiriusSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives Sirius win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ÖRG
17.8%
Draw
22.8%
SIR
59.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
54.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Sirius win was the highest probability; the match result was Sirius win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

18%
23%
59%
17.8%ÖRG
22.8%Draw
59.4%SIR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.9%No 45.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SIR or draw at 63.6%; the most likely half-time state is SIR leading at half-time at 46.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.9%.

Double Chance

1X
30.0%
12
6.3%
X2
63.6%

Half-Time Result

ÖRG
17.6%
Draw
36.4%
SIR
46.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ÖRG
Draw
SIR
ÖRG
8.6%
4.7%
4.3%
Draw
6.3%
11.1%
19.4%
SIR
1.4%
4.5%
39.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.9%
No
98.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.