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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW22Ref: Erik Mattsson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Örgryte 1-2 Sirius result, stats and report

Örgryte
Lost · xG 0.95
1 – 2
FT 06:15
Won · xG 0.68
Sirius
Next: Djurgården v Örgryte · Sat 24 Oct · Sirius v AIK · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Örgryte vs Sirius?

Örgryte 1-2 Sirius, full time in Swedish Allsvenskan. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sirius won it.

Match Review · published 19 Sept 2026, 21:20 BST

Sirius Steal It in Stoppage Time: Örgryte 1-2 Sirius, Swedish Allsvenskan

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Sirius snatched a 2-1 win at Örgryte with a Sebastian Lagerlund header deep into stoppage time, completing a comeback after the hosts had led through Henrik Castegren's early goal. Örgryte's defensive frailty and lack of cutting edge ultimately cost them ag…

Read the review
How it played out

SIR won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Örgryte 1–2 Sirius

Sirius snatched a 2-1 win at Örgryte with a Sebastian Lagerlund header deep into stoppage time, completing a comeback after the hosts had led through Henrik Castegren's early goal. Örgryte's defensive frailty and lack of cutting edge ultimately cost them again.

Key Takeaways
Result

Sirius won 2-1 away at Örgryte.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
H
7'⚽
Henrik Castegren
IAssist: Isak Bjerkebo
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Örgryte 0.95 xGSirius 0.68 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Sirius to win

59%Matched

Result

Örgryte1:2Sirius

ÖRG v SIR

Our model called Sirius to win at 59%. Örgryte 1-2 Sirius. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Sirius won 2-1 at Örgryte in Swedish Allsvenskan. Our model backed Sirius at 59 percent probability and the pick landed. Örgryte, struggling with one win in five, conceded twice despite creating chances; Sirius maintained their strong recent form with four wins in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Örgryte v Sirius · Swedish Allsvenskan ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. S. LagerlundÖRG★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.7
  2. Henrik CastegrenSIR1 goal · 90 min7.4
  3. Victor SvenssonSIR1 goal · 72 min7.4
  4. Oscar KrusnellSIR90 min7.4
  5. Tobias SanaÖRG1 assist · 90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Sirius win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ÖRG
17.8%
Draw
22.8%
SIR
59.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
54.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Sirius win was the highest probability; the match result was Sirius win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Örgryte and Sirius, landing once across 1 league meeting on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Örgryte.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 13league matches away from home unbeaten for Sirius.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Örgryte scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sirius scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Örgryte have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sirius have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sebastian Lagerlund has the highest listed average xGOT for Örgryte at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Åke Andersson has the highest listed average xGOT for Sirius at 0.88 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Örgryte vs Sirius?
    SIR beat ÖRG 2-1 in the Swedish Allsvenskan.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Henrik Castegren opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Henrik Castegren (7'), Victor Svensson (62'), Sebastian Lagerlund (94').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Erik Mattsson officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ÖRG vs SIR kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    ÖRG play Djurgården on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. SIR play Sirius on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.