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Premier League · MW7 The City Ground, Nottingham, NottinghamshireRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

Nottingham Forest
Lost · xG 0.86
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.15
Arsenal
Next: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest · Sat 21 Nov · Newcastle United v Arsenal · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Nottingham ForestArsenalPremier League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Nottingham Forest
20.9%
Draw
24.4%
Arsenal
54.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.3%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Arsenal win was the highest probability; the match result was Arsenal win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

21%
24%
55%
20.9%Nottingham Forest
24.4%Draw
54.8%Arsenal

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.3%No 50.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.5%No 51.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Arsenal or draw at 55.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.4%.

Double Chance

1X
36.7%
12
7.7%
X2
55.6%

Half-Time Result

Nottingham Forest
21.1%
Draw
43.0%
Arsenal
35.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Nottingham Forest
Draw
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
13.0%
4.3%
3.2%
Draw
8.8%
17.1%
18.1%
Arsenal
1.3%
5.2%
29.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.4%
No
98.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.