Premier League · MW7Sun, 18 Oct 2026 The City Ground, Nottingham, NottinghamshireRef: Michael Oliver

Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

Nottingham Forest

Lost · xG 0.86

0 – 1

Arsenal

Won · xG 1.15

Match review

Next: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City · Sat 7 Nov · Arsenal v Hull City · Sat 7 Nov

How the model called it

3 of 3 right

Nottingham Forest20.9%

Draw24.4%

Arsenal54.8%Right

Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 48.5%, so the model leaned underRight

No both teams to scoreBTTS rated 49.3%, so the model leaned noRight

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Over 1.5 goalsPublished 16 Oct, 03:55 · before kick-offLost

Logged at 1.29 with William Hill

William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.

The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

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Nottingham Forest19th17th → 19th
Arsenal1st2nd → 1st

After 9 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Under 2.5 goalsWon

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Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

Props edgesIn the review

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Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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