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Premier League · MW7 The City Ground, Nottingham, NottinghamshireRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal result, stats and report

Nottingham Forest
Lost · xG 0.86
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.15
Arsenal
Next: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City · Sat 7 Nov · Slavia Praha v Arsenal · Wed 4 Nov
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Who won Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Nottingham Forest winning 0, Arsenal winning 1 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Arsenal won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal

Noni Madueke's 80th-minute right-foot strike gave Arsenal a hard-fought 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest, with the visitors' superior discipline and desire proving the difference on a day when Forest had plenty of the ball but almost nothing to show for it.

Key Takeaways
Result

Arsenal won 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
N
80'⚽
Noni Madueke
DAssist: Declan Rice
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest 0.86 xGArsenal 1.15 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Arsenal won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, with Noni Madueke scoring in the 80th minute. Our model backed an Arsenal victory at 55% probability and the pick landed. Forest offered little threat throughout and failed to register a shot on target, while Arsenal controlled possession and limited chances at both ends. The result extends Arsenal's recent run and leaves Forest searching for consistency. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Declan RiceArsenal★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min7.9
  2. GabrielArsenal90 min7.8
  3. MurilloNottingham Forest90 min7.4
  4. David RayaArsenal90 min7.3
  5. Xaver SchlagerNottingham Forest90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Nottingham Forest
20.9%
Draw
24.4%
Arsenal
54.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.3%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Arsenal win was the highest probability; the match result was Arsenal win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 03:55lost
Over 1.5 goals

Logged at 1.29 with William Hill

William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record 92fee7f7-c7be-4d40-b2ad-3ced1fffc4b0 · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Arsenal, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Arsenal, the final recorded goal situation matched 30 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Nottingham Forest.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 44league matches away from home unbeaten for Arsenal.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Nottingham Forest scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Arsenal scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
    Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the Premier League at The City Ground.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Noni Madueke opened the scoring in the 80th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Noni Madueke (80').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Michael Oliver officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time at The City Ground.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Nottingham Forest play Manchester City on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. Arsenal play Slavia Praha on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.