This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
We use cookies to improve your experience. Essential cookies are always active. Non-essential cookies (functional, analytics, advertising) require your consent. Privacy Policy
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Nottingham Forest winning 0, Arsenal winning 1 and 1 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Noni Madueke's 80th-minute right-foot strike gave Arsenal a hard-fought 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest, with the visitors' superior discipline and desire proving the difference on a day when Forest had plenty of the ball but almost nothing to show for it.
Noni Madueke's 80th-minute right-foot strike gave Arsenal a hard-fought 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest, with the visitors' superior discipline and desire proving the difference on a day when Forest had plenty of the ball but almost nothing to show for it.
Premier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 16:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Arsenal won 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
N
80'⚽
Noni Madueke
DAssist: Declan Rice
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Nottingham Forest 0.86 xGArsenal 1.15 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
📊 Match recap and data context
Arsenal won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, with Noni Madueke scoring in the 80th minute. Our model backed an Arsenal victory at 55% probability and the pick landed. Forest offered little threat throughout and failed to register a shot on target, while Arsenal controlled possession and limited chances at both ends. The result extends Arsenal's recent run and leaves Forest searching for consistency. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Nottingham Forest
20.9%
Draw
24.4%
Arsenal
54.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.3%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%
Full-time forecast audit: Arsenal win was the highest probability; the match result was Arsenal win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 03:55lost
Over 1.5 goals
Logged at 1.29 with William Hill
William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 92fee7f7-c7be-4d40-b2ad-3ced1fffc4b0 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Arsenal, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Arsenal, the final recorded goal situation matched 30 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
0-0is the most common scoreline between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
2/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
2league matches at home unbeaten for Nottingham Forest.Immutable lifecycle evidence
44league matches away from home unbeaten for Arsenal.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Nottingham Forest scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Arsenal scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?