Skip to main content
Live
โœฆ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Premier League ยท MW4 Old Trafford, ManchesterRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City result, stats and report

Manchester United
Lost ยท xG 0.84
0 โ€“ 1
FT 09:25
Won ยท xG 0.77
Manchester City
Next: Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur ยท Sat 10 Oct ยท Liverpool v Manchester City ยท Sun 11 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Manchester UnitedManchester CityPremier League

The provider forecast gives Manchester City win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.5%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Manchester United
33.2%
Draw
23.3%
Manchester City
43.5%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
61.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Manchester City win was the highest probability; the match result was Manchester City win.

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
23%
43%
33.2%Manchester United
23.3%Draw
43.5%Manchester City

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.3%No 39.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Manchester United or draw at 49.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
49.2%
12
5.0%
X2
45.8%

Half-Time Result

Manchester United
31.2%
Draw
36.6%
Manchester City
32.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Manchester United
Draw
Manchester City
Manchester United
20.7%
4.9%
3.9%
Draw
11.9%
14.0%
12.3%
Manchester City
2.8%
4.4%
25.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.