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Premier League ยท MW4 Old Trafford, ManchesterRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City result, stats and report

Manchester United
Manchester United
Lost ยท xG 0.84
0 โ€“ 1
FT 09:25
Manchester City
Won ยท xG 0.77
Manchester City
Match review
Next: Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur ยท Sat 10 Oct ยท Liverpool v Manchester City ยท Sun 11 Oct
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Who won Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score โ€” No, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Manchester United winning 1, Manchester City winning 1 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

Manchester City won it 1โ€“0

Manchester UnitedManchester City

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final ยท revision 4 ยท 09:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Manchester United 0โ€“1 Manchester City

Manchester City won 1-0 at Old Trafford thanks to Erling Haaland's 60th-minute strike, as Manchester United dominated possession and shots but lacked the cutting edge when it mattered most.

Premier LeagueSun 13 Sept, 16:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Manchester City won 1-0 away at Manchester United.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
E
60'โšฝ
Erling Haaland
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United 0.84 xGManchester City 0.77 xG
Cumulative ยท approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off ยท prediction, not a Tip

Manchester City to win

43%Matched

Result

Manchester United0:1Manchester City

Manchester United v Manchester City

Our model called Manchester City to win at 43%. Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City. Forecast matched the result.
๐Ÿ“Š Match recap and data context

Manchester City won 1-0 at Old Trafford to claim the Manchester derby. Our model backed City at 43 percent probability and the pick landed. Manchester United offered little attacking threat; neither side managed a goal in the first half, and City's solitary strike proved decisive. Both teams had struggled to score in their recent outings, and that pattern held through ninety minutes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Manchester United v Manchester City ยท Premier League ยท

More from this competition: Premier League predictions ยท Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Matheus NunesManchester Cityโ˜… MOTM90 min7.7
  2. Kobbie MainooManchester United90 min7.6
  3. Enzo Fernรกndez82 min7.3
  4. Erling HaalandManchester City1 goal ยท 90 min7.3
  5. Josko GvardiolManchester City1 assist ยท 90 min7.2

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Manchester UnitedManchester CityPremier League

The provider forecast gives Manchester City win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.5%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Manchester United
33.2%
Draw
23.3%
Manchester City
43.5%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
61.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Manchester City win was the highest probability; the match result was Manchester City win.

Forecast result checked ยท

Tip record ยท publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
โœฆ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger ยท each row keeps its exact result
Premier Leagueยท published 04:30won
Under 2.5 goalsat 2.72
Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger ยท record c6220ced-a53c-434d-862f-f495abfe6a59 ยท model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts ยท what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Manchester United and Manchester City, landing 4 times across 27 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12/27recorded league meetings saw both teams score (44.4%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 21league matches at home unbeaten for Manchester United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 24league matches away from home unbeaten for Manchester City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Manchester United scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Manchester City scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Manchester United have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Manchester City have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Benjamin Sesko has the highest listed average xGOT for Manchester United at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Erling Haaland has the highest listed average xGOT for Manchester City at 0.79 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot ยท Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Manchester United vs Manchester City?
    Manchester City beat Manchester United 1-0 in the Premier League at Old Trafford.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Erling Haaland opened the scoring in the 60th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Erling Haaland (60').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Michael Oliver officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Manchester United vs Manchester City kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time at Old Trafford.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score โ€” No, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Manchester United play Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time. Manchester City play Liverpool on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.