Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 14:00 KO

Manchester City

LDWWWLast 5

Kicks off in

12d 19h

Bournemouth

DDWWDLast 5

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

Manchester City vs Bournemouth kicks off Sunday 23 August at 14:00 UK time in the Premier League. The match is at Etihad Stadium, Manchester. Our model's pick is Both teams to score: No at a 47.2% modelled probability (fair decimal price 2.12), displayed at 2.50 with Sky Bet as observed 10 Aug, 18:09. The value angle is Bournemouth to win at a best price of 7.00, 3.9 percentage points above our modelled fair price. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Manchester City winning 1, Bournemouth winning 0 and 1 drawn.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

The signals

Recorded before kick-off · timestamped displayed prices

Model pick

Both teams to score: No

Our model rates this at 47% (fair decimal price 2.12); the timestamped displayed price implies 40% and was observed 10 Aug, 18:09.

implied 40%model 47%

2.50Sky Bet2.45William Hill2.40Betfair

Value pick

Bournemouth to win

The verified best displayed price sits 3.9 percentage points above our modelled fair line for this outcome (fair decimal price 5.49).

implied 14%model 18%

7.00Smarkets6.50Casumo6.50Grosvenor

Full prediction breakdown →

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Model vs market

Manchester City win58%mkt 69%

Draw23%mkt 20%

Bournemouth win18%mkt 14%

Model, set before kick-offMarket, implied by the best pre-match price

18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.

More angles from this match

★ Best edge today · +3.9pp

AI-derived signals · timestamped displayed price

Manchester CityvBournemouth

xG lean

Manchester Cityto win

1.44bwin1.44bet3651.44Ladbrokes

Manchester CityvBournemouth

Both teams to score

BTTS · Yes

1.63Betfair1.57bet3651.55Ladbrokes

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · GambleAware

Most likely scorelines

All odds →

1-0

11.3%

10.00

1-1

10.2%

9.50

2-1

9.8%

9.60

2-0

9.8%

9.00

0-0

6.5%

21.00

Model probability per scoreline. Manchester City goals first in each score.

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Half-time lean

The model's most likely half-time picture, priced where our tracked bookmakers offer the market.

Half-time result

Manchester City lead at half-time

Model 47.7%

1.83bet365

Half-time / full-time

Manchester City at half-time, Manchester City win at full-time

Model 40.4%

2.10Sky Bet

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions

Manchester City

9.4

xG for

12▲ +2.6

Goals

6.7

xGA

Last 6 matchesover-performing xG

Bournemouth

9.0

xG for

10▲ +1.0

Goals

8.4

xGA

Last 6 matchesover-performing xG

Form context not yet generated for this fixture.

Player props land closer to kick-off, usually a few hours before the game.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Manchester City v Bournemouth · Premier League · Sun 23 August at 14:00 UK

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Frequently asked questions

When is Manchester City vs Bournemouth and where is it played?
Manchester City vs Bournemouth takes place on Sunday 23 August at 14:00 (UK time) in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Our model's pick is Both teams to score: No (btts), with around 47% confidence. The timestamped displayed price is 2.50 with skybet, against a model fair price of 2.12. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Where is the betting value in Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Our model flags Bournemouth to win as the value pick, around +3.9 percentage points above the market's implied probability. The verified best displayed price is 7.00 with smarkets. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Bournemouth?
In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Bournemouth won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
How can I watch Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Premier League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
Are SportSignals predictions for Manchester City vs Bournemouth free?
Yes. Our AI predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Manchester City vs Bournemouth are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.

Match preview & picks

🎯

Model pick: Both teams to score: No

47% confidence · Model rates BTTS No at 47%; market implies 40%. · timestamped displayed at skybet

2.50

Check price

💎

Value pick: Bournemouth win

+3.9pp edge vs market · verified best displayed at smarkets

7.00

Check price

📊

xG lean: Manchester City to win

Model 58.5% · market 69.4%

1.44

Check price

🔁

H2H trend

Manchester City 1W · Bournemouth 0W in last 2 · BTTS in 2 of 2

1-1-0

📰

All odds

Best price · UKGC books

Bookie	Home	Draw	Away
Smarkets	9/20★	41/10★	6/1★
Grosvenor	4/9	19/5	11/2
Casumo	4/9	19/5	11/2
Unibet	2/5	4/1	21/4
Coral	4/9	4/1	5/1
bet365	4/9	4/1	5/1
Ladbrokes	4/9	4/1	5/1
Betano	4/9	19/5	5/1

+6 more bookmakers on the full odds page.

Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

AI Prediction

Timestamped displayed price 2.50

Manchester City win58.5%

Draw23.3%

Bournemouth win18.2%

Top signal

Both teams to score: No

btts · model 47%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Edge · SportSignals+

Every +EV price and trend for this match, ranked by edge.

Open the Edge tab

Full-time result accuracy

View all →

50.3%

full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled

1120 correct from 2225 resolved picks

Competition scope: all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:: 9 Aug 2026
Period:: 15 Apr 2026 to 9 Aug 2026

50.3%

Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Half-time lean

The model's most likely half-time picture, priced where our tracked bookmakers offer the market.

Half-time result

Manchester City lead at half-time

Model 47.7%

1.83bet365

Half-time / full-time

Manchester City at half-time, Manchester City win at full-time

Model 40.4%

2.10Sky Bet

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Frequently asked questions

When is Manchester City vs Bournemouth and where is it played?

Manchester City vs Bournemouth takes place on Sunday 23 August at 14:00 (UK time) in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

Our model's pick is Both teams to score: No (btts), with around 47% confidence. The timestamped displayed price is 2.50 with skybet, against a model fair price of 2.12. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.

Where is the betting value in Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

Our model flags Bournemouth to win as the value pick, around +3.9 percentage points above the market's implied probability. The verified best displayed price is 7.00 with smarkets. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Bournemouth?

In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Bournemouth won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.

How can I watch Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Premier League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.

Are SportSignals predictions for Manchester City vs Bournemouth free?

Yes. Our AI predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Manchester City vs Bournemouth are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.

Age Verification

✦ SportSignals+ tools

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

The signals

Model vs market

Most likely scorelines

Half-time lean

Form & xG · last 6 games

Frequently asked questions

All odds

AI Prediction

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

The signals

Model vs market

Most likely scorelines

Half-time lean

Form & xG · last 6 games

Frequently asked questions

All odds

AI Prediction

Full-time result accuracy

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

The signals

Model vs market

Most likely scorelines

Half-time lean

Form & xG · last 6 games

Frequently asked questions

Should you back Manchester City or Bournemouth?

The signals

Model vs market

Most likely scorelines

Half-time lean

Form & xG · last 6 games

Frequently asked questions

📊 All odds

🧠 AI Prediction

Full-time result accuracy

All odds

AI Prediction