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Carabao Cup Portman Road, Ipswich, SuffolkRef: Peter Bankes
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Ipswich 2-4 Arsenal result, stats and report

Ipswich
Ipswich
Lost · xG 0.98
2 – 4
FT 14:05
Arsenal
Won · xG 1.12
Arsenal
Match review
Next: Ipswich v Bournemouth · Sun 8 Nov · Slavia Praha v Arsenal · Wed 4 Nov
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Who won Ipswich vs Arsenal?

Ipswich 2-4 Arsenal, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

Match Review · published 15 Sept 2026, 22:10 BST

Arsenal 4-2 Ipswich: Dowman Fires Gunners Into Next Round With Brace

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Arsenal put Ipswich to the sword at Portman Road, winning 4-2 in the Carabao Cup thanks to a Max Dowman brace and goals from Noni Madueke and Mikel Merino. Ipswich gave it a go late on but the basics told the story.

Read the review
How it played out

Arsenal won it 4–2

IpswichArsenal

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 14:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal

Arsenal put Ipswich to the sword at Portman Road, winning 4-2 in the Carabao Cup thanks to a Max Dowman brace and goals from Noni Madueke and Mikel Merino. Ipswich gave it a go late on but the basics told the story.

Carabao CupTue 15 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Arsenal won 4-2 away at Ipswich.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
7'⚽
Max Dowman2 goals in match
EAssist: Eberechi Eze
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich 0.98 xGArsenal 1.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Arsenal to win

45%Matched

Result

Ipswich2:4Arsenal

Ipswich v Arsenal

Our model called Arsenal to win at 45%. Ipswich 2-4 Arsenal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Arsenal won 4-2 at Portman Road in the Carabao Cup, landing our model's 45% pick for an away victory. The visitors dominated early, with Max Dowman scoring in the seventh minute and Noni Madueke adding a second in the sixteenth; Dowman struck again after the interval to put Arsenal firmly in control. Ipswich pulled back two goals but could not close the gap. Arsenal's perfect recent form, marked by five straight wins and both teams scoring in every match, proved decisive. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ipswich v Arsenal · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Max DowmanArsenal★ MOTM2 goals · 1 assist · 90 min8.5
  2. Mikel MerinoArsenal1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.1
  3. Noni MaduekeArsenal1 goal · 76 min7.7
  4. Anis MehmetiIpswich1 goal · 90 min7.4
  5. Chuba AkpomIpswich1 goal · 29 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

IpswichArsenalCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ipswich
28.8%
Draw
25.8%
Arsenal
45.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.8%
Over 2.5 goals
51.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Arsenal win was the highest probability; the match result was Arsenal win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Arsenal.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ipswich scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arsenal scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ipswich have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arsenal have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sindre Walle Egeli has the highest listed average xGOT for Ipswich at 0.80 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mikel Merino has the highest listed average xGOT for Arsenal at 0.55 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Ipswich vs Arsenal?
    Arsenal beat Ipswich 4-2 in the Carabao Cup at Portman Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Max Dowman opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Max Dowman (7'), Noni Madueke (16'), Max Dowman (47'), Mikel Merino (58'), Anis Mehmeti (62'), Chuba Akpom (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Peter Bankes officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Ipswich vs Arsenal kicked off on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 UK time at Portman Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Ipswich play Bournemouth on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Arsenal play Slavia Praha on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.