CLIP1:13The Max Dowman show Enjoy all of the… · Ipswich v Arsenal
The Max Dowman show 💫 Enjoy all of the goals as @Arsenal cruise into Round Four 🏆 #EFL |
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Full time
Ipswich 2-4 Arsenal result, stats and report
Next: Everton v Ipswich · Sat 19 Sept · Brighton v Arsenal · Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- Ipswich
- 28.8%
- Draw
- 25.8%
- Arsenal
- 45.4%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 51.8%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51.3%
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | won |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | won |
| Over 2.5 goals | won |
| Over 3.5 goals | lost |
| Full-time result | won |
| Double chance | won |
| Correct score | lost |
| Both teams to score in both halves | lost |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
29%
26%
45%
28.8%Ipswich
25.8%Draw
45.4%Arsenal
Both Teams to Score
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 51.3%No 48.7%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%
Most Likely Correct Scores
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates Arsenal or draw at 51.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.5%.
Double Chance
1X
40.9%
12
7.5%
X2
51.5%
Half-Time Result
Ipswich
24.8%
Draw
40.3%
Arsenal
35.0%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
Ipswich
Draw
Arsenal
Ipswich
17.0%
4.0%
3.5%
Draw
10.4%
15.3%
14.2%
Arsenal
1.8%
5.1%
28.7%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
3.5%
No
96.5%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
@footballontnt