Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Bundesliga · MW2 Volksparkstadion, HamburgRef: Tobias Reichel
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05 result, stats and report

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Lost · xG 0.26
0 – 5
FT 09:55
FSV Mainz 05
Won · xG 2.71
FSV Mainz 05
Match review
Next: Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart · Sat 17 Oct · Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 · Sat 17 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Hamburger SV winning 1, FSV Mainz 05 winning 0 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

FSV Mainz 05 won it 5–0

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 09:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 delivered a ruthless five-goal dismantling of Hamburger SV on Sunday afternoon, exposing a Hamburg side with no clean sheet in their last ten Bundesliga matches and no answers for Mainz's relentless attacking intent.

BundesligaSun 6 Sept, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

FSV Mainz 05 won 5-0 away at Hamburger SV.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Hamburger SV 0.26 to FSV Mainz 05 2.71 on expected goals.

First Goal
S
19'⚽
Sheraldo Becker
KAssist: Kaishu Sano
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV 0.26 xGFSV Mainz 05 2.71 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

FSV Mainz 05 to win

45%Matched

Result

Hamburger SV0:5FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Our model called FSV Mainz 05 to win at 45%. Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

FSV Mainz 05 dismantled Hamburger SV 5-0 at the Volksparkstadion in a dominant Bundesliga performance. Our model backed Mainz to win at 45 percent probability, and the pick landed decisively. Hamburg's recent form had been fragile, posting just one win in five matches, while Mainz arrived on a four-game winning streak. The visitors' clinical finishing overwhelmed a struggling home defence. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Phillipp MweneFSV Mainz 05★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min9.0
  2. Sheraldo Becker1 goal · 2 assists · 68 min8.9
  3. Phillip TietzFSV Mainz 052 goals · 90 min8.8
  4. Jae-sung LeeFSV Mainz 051 assist · 88 min7.4
  5. Ransford KönigsdörfferHamburger SV1 goal · 22 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives FSV Mainz 05 win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Hamburger SV
31.8%
Draw
23.1%
FSV Mainz 05
45.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.1%
Over 2.5 goals
61.9%

Full-time forecast audit: FSV Mainz 05 win was the highest probability; the match result was FSV Mainz 05 win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05, landing 3 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9league matches away from home unbeaten for FSV Mainz 05.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hamburger SV scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FSV Mainz 05 scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hamburger SV have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FSV Mainz 05 have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga has the highest listed average xGOT for Hamburger SV at 0.24 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Phillip Tietz has the highest listed average xGOT for FSV Mainz 05 at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
    FSV Mainz 05 beat Hamburger SV 5-0 in the Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Sheraldo Becker opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Sheraldo Becker (19'), Phillipp Mwene (41'), Phillip Tietz (48'), Phillip Tietz (83'), Ransford Königsdörffer (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tobias Reichel officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 kicked off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 UK time at Volksparkstadion.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Hamburger SV play VfB Stuttgart on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. FSV Mainz 05 play Schalke 04 on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.