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Eredivisie · MW4 Euroborg, GroningenRef: Martijn Vos
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FC Groningen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard result, stats and report

FC Groningen
Lost · xG 1.89
2 – 3
FT
Won · xG 0.93
Fortuna Sittard
Next: FC Groningen v Ajax · Sun 18 Oct · NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC GroningenFortuna SittardEredivisie

The provider forecast gives FC Groningen win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC Groningen
53.5%
Draw
24.4%
Fortuna Sittard
22.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
24%
22%
53.5%FC Groningen
24.4%Draw
22.1%Fortuna Sittard

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.8%No 46.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.6%No 46.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FC Groningen or draw at 58.2%; the most likely half-time state is FC Groningen leading at half-time at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.7%.

Double Chance

1X
58.2%
12
6.7%
X2
35.1%

Half-Time Result

FC Groningen
41.2%
Draw
38.0%
Fortuna Sittard
20.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC Groningen
Draw
Fortuna Sittard
FC Groningen
33.2%
5.3%
2.0%
Draw
16.6%
14.5%
7.5%
Fortuna Sittard
3.7%
5.1%
12.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.7%
No
90.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.