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Premier League · MW3 Craven Cottage, LondonRef: Samuel Barrott
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace result, stats and report

Fulham
Lost · xG 3.89
2 – 3
FT 11:05
Won · xG 1.04
Crystal Palace
Next: Ipswich v Fulham · Sat 10 Oct · Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FulhamCrystal PalacePremier League

The provider forecast gives Fulham win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Fulham
47.8%
Draw
23.7%
Crystal Palace
28.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.2%
Over 2.5 goals
61.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Fulham win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
24%
29%
47.8%Fulham
23.7%Draw
28.5%Crystal Palace

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.2%No 38.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Fulham or draw at 56.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
56.1%
12
4.6%
X2
39.3%

Half-Time Result

Fulham
36.9%
Draw
40.7%
Crystal Palace
22.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Fulham
Draw
Crystal Palace
Fulham
28.4%
5.8%
2.8%
Draw
16.2%
14.0%
9.6%
Crystal Palace
3.6%
5.5%
14.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.