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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Nottingham Forest turned a first-minute deficit into a commanding 3-1 victory at Selhurst Park, with Crystal Palace's wastefulness in front of goal proving fatal as Forest's clinical finishing and aerial dominance told the full story.
Nottingham Forest turned a first-minute deficit into a commanding 3-1 victory at Selhurst Park, with Crystal Palace's wastefulness in front of goal proving fatal as Forest's clinical finishing and aerial dominance told the full story.
Premier LeagueSun 11 Oct, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at home.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
D
3'⚽
Dan Ndoye
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace 2.16 xGNottingham Forest 2.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Crystal Palace to win
38%Matched
Result
3:1
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
Our model called Crystal Palace to win at 38%. Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at Selhurst Park in a Premier League match where our model's 38% pick for a Palace win landed. Forest struck first through Dan Ndoye in the third minute, but Palace turned the match around with goals from Daichi Kamada in the 41st minute and Jefferson Lerma in stoppage time before the interval. A third Palace goal sealed the result. Palace's recent form showed one win in five matches with no both-teams-to-score outcomes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · Premier League ·
The provider forecast gives Crystal Palace win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.9%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Crystal Palace
37.9%
Draw
26.2%
Nottingham Forest
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
51.5%
Full-time forecast audit: Crystal Palace win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 03:55won
Over 1.5 goals
Logged at 1.29 with William Hill
William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 11 Oct.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 29e74aad-177f-4cb7-b8bb-3324dde0d45b · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 12 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Crystal Palace, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 19 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Crystal Palace, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
1-1is the most common scoreline between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest, landing 5 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
5/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (62.5%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
6league matches away from home unbeaten for Nottingham Forest.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Crystal Palace scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Nottingham Forest scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Crystal Palace have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?