Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Premier League · MW6 Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Peter Bankes
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest result, stats and report

Crystal Palace
Won · xG 2.16
3 – 1
FT 00:25
Lost · xG 2.57
Nottingham Forest
Next: Coventry v Crystal Palace · Sat 21 Nov · Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest · Sat 21 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Crystal Palace winning 0, Nottingham Forest winning 0 and 2 drawn.

How it played out

Crystal Palace won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 00:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest turned a first-minute deficit into a commanding 3-1 victory at Selhurst Park, with Crystal Palace's wastefulness in front of goal proving fatal as Forest's clinical finishing and aerial dominance told the full story.

Key Takeaways
Result

Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
3'⚽
Dan Ndoye
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace 2.16 xGNottingham Forest 2.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Crystal Palace to win

38%Matched

Result

Crystal Palace3:1Nottingham Forest

Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest

Our model called Crystal Palace to win at 38%. Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at Selhurst Park in a Premier League match where our model's 38% pick for a Palace win landed. Forest struck first through Dan Ndoye in the third minute, but Palace turned the match around with goals from Daichi Kamada in the 41st minute and Jefferson Lerma in stoppage time before the interval. A third Palace goal sealed the result. Palace's recent form showed one win in five matches with no both-teams-to-score outcomes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Adam WhartonCrystal Palace★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min7.7
  2. Yéremy PinoCrystal Palace1 goal · 83 min7.4
  3. Tyrick MitchellCrystal Palace90 min7.4
  4. Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest90 min7.4
  5. Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace1 goal · 90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Crystal Palace win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.9%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Crystal Palace
37.9%
Draw
26.2%
Nottingham Forest
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
51.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Crystal Palace win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 03:55won
Over 1.5 goals

Logged at 1.29 with William Hill

William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 11 Oct.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record 29e74aad-177f-4cb7-b8bb-3324dde0d45b · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 12 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Crystal Palace, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 19 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Crystal Palace, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest, landing 5 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (62.5%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6league matches away from home unbeaten for Nottingham Forest.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Crystal Palace scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Nottingham Forest scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Crystal Palace have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
    Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 in the Premier League at Selhurst Park.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Dan Ndoye opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Dan Ndoye (3'), Daichi Kamada (41'), Jefferson Lerma (49'), Yéremy Pino (59').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Peter Bankes officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at Selhurst Park.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Crystal Palace play Coventry on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time. Nottingham Forest play Bournemouth on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.