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Premier League · MW6 Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Peter Bankes
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest result, stats and report

Crystal Palace
Won · xG 2.16
3 – 1
FT 00:25
Lost · xG 2.57
Nottingham Forest
Next: Coventry v Crystal Palace · Sat 21 Nov · Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Crystal PalaceNottingham ForestPremier League

The provider forecast gives Crystal Palace win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.9%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Crystal Palace
37.9%
Draw
26.2%
Nottingham Forest
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
51.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Crystal Palace win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
26%
36%
37.9%Crystal Palace
26.2%Draw
35.9%Nottingham Forest

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Crystal Palace or draw at 52.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
52.3%
12
7.4%
X2
40.3%

Half-Time Result

Crystal Palace
33.0%
Draw
41.8%
Nottingham Forest
25.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Crystal Palace
Draw
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
26.8%
4.9%
2.3%
Draw
15.2%
15.2%
10.2%
Nottingham Forest
3.1%
6.4%
15.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.