Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Bundesliga · MW5 MEWA ARENA, MainzRef: Max Burda
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen result, stats and report

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Lost · xG 2.72
3 – 4
FT 04:25
Bayer Leverkusen
Won · xG 2.00
Bayer Leverkusen
Match review
Next: Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 · Fri 30 Oct · Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · Sat 31 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Bayer Leverkusen won it.

How it played out

Bayer Leverkusen won it 4–3

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 03:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen survived a frantic second-half comeback from FSV Mainz 05 to win 4-3 in a Bundesliga match that had everything. Anthony Caci's first-half brace gave Mainz hope, but Leverkusen's clinical early start proved the difference.

BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Bayer Leverkusen won 4-3 away at FSV Mainz 05.

Goals

7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
5'⚽
Robert Andrich
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05 2.72 xGBayer Leverkusen 2.00 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Bayer Leverkusen to win

39%Matched

Result

FSV Mainz 053:4Bayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen

Our model called Bayer Leverkusen to win at 39%. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Mainz arrives in strong form with four wins in five Bundesliga matches, though both sides show contrasting recent patterns; Leverkusen's sole win in their last five came without conceding, while Mainz have seen both teams score in 60 percent of theirs. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Robert AndrichBayer Leverkusen★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.2
  2. Nadiem AmiriFSV Mainz 051 assist · 90 min7.6
  3. Sheraldo Becker77 min7.4
  4. Aleix GarcíaBayer Leverkusen1 assist · 84 min7.4
  5. Patrik SchickBayer Leverkusen1 goal · 83 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FSV Mainz 05Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FSV Mainz 05
36.8%
Draw
24.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
38.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.2%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayer Leverkusen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Bayer Leverkusen, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 39 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Bayer Leverkusen, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For FSV Mainz 05, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 39 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For FSV Mainz 05, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, landing 5 times across 26 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 13/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 44league matches away from home unbeaten for Bayer Leverkusen.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FSV Mainz 05 scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FSV Mainz 05 have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
    Bayer Leverkusen beat FSV Mainz 05 4-3 in the Bundesliga at MEWA ARENA.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Robert Andrich opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Robert Andrich (5'), Patrik Schick (9'), Anthony Caci (33'), Anthony Caci (42'), Jarell Quansah (55'), Moussa Diaby (65'), Benedict Hollerbach (92').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Max Burda officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at MEWA ARENA.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    FSV Mainz 05 play Elversberg on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. Bayer Leverkusen play VfB Stuttgart on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.