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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW21Ref: Joakim Östling
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar result, stats and report

Elfsborg
Won · xG 1.15
1 – 0
FT 05:45
Lost · xG 1.53
Kalmar
Next: AIK v Elfsborg · Tue 27 Oct · Kalmar v Brommapojkarna · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElfsborgKalmarSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives Elfsborg win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELF
45.2%
Draw
26.0%
KAL
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Elfsborg win was the highest probability; the match result was Elfsborg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
26%
29%
45.2%ELF
26.0%Draw
28.8%KAL

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.2%No 49.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.5%No 51.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ELF or draw at 47.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.2%.

Double Chance

1X
47.1%
12
8.0%
X2
44.9%

Half-Time Result

ELF
29.1%
Draw
43.1%
KAL
27.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ELF
Draw
KAL
ELF
20.7%
6.1%
2.9%
Draw
13.3%
15.8%
12.4%
KAL
2.8%
5.7%
20.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.2%
No
93.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.