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Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar, full time in Swedish Allsvenskan. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Kalmar won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Elfsborg dominated possession, created the better chances, and hit the woodwork, but Kalmar's M. Kamara punished them with a clinical second-half finish to secure a 1-0 win in Allsvenskan.
Elfsborg dominated possession, created the better chances, and hit the woodwork, but Kalmar's M. Kamara punished them with a clinical second-half finish to secure a 1-0 win in Allsvenskan.
Swedish AllsvenskanSun 13 Sept, 13:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Elfsborg beat Kalmar 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
51'⚽
M. Kamara
LAssist: Leo Östman
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Elfsborg 1.15 xGKalmar 1.53 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Elfsborg to win
45%Matched
Result
1:0
ELF v KAL
Our model called Elfsborg to win at 45%. Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Elfsborg beat Kalmar 1-0 in Swedish Allsvenskan, landing our model's pick of an Elfsborg win at 45% probability. The hosts controlled a tight contest against a Kalmar side winless in their last five matches. Elfsborg's recent form showed two wins in five games, while Kalmar managed just two draws across the same stretch. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Elfsborg win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
ELF
45.2%
Draw
26.0%
KAL
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%
Full-time forecast audit: Elfsborg win was the highest probability; the match result was Elfsborg win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.