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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW21Ref: Joakim Östling
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar result, stats and report

Elfsborg
Won · xG 1.15
1 – 0
FT 05:45
Lost · xG 1.53
Kalmar
Next: Elfsborg v Malmö FF · Fri 23 Oct · Kalmar v Brommapojkarna · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Elfsborg vs Kalmar?

Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar, full time in Swedish Allsvenskan. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Kalmar won it.

How it played out

ELF won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 05:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Elfsborg 1–0 Kalmar

Elfsborg dominated possession, created the better chances, and hit the woodwork, but Kalmar's M. Kamara punished them with a clinical second-half finish to secure a 1-0 win in Allsvenskan.

Key Takeaways
Result

Elfsborg beat Kalmar 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
51'⚽
M. Kamara
LAssist: Leo Östman
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Elfsborg 1.15 xGKalmar 1.53 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Elfsborg to win

45%Matched

Result

Elfsborg1:0Kalmar

ELF v KAL

Our model called Elfsborg to win at 45%. Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Elfsborg beat Kalmar 1-0 in Swedish Allsvenskan, landing our model's pick of an Elfsborg win at 45% probability. The hosts controlled a tight contest against a Kalmar side winless in their last five matches. Elfsborg's recent form showed two wins in five games, while Kalmar managed just two draws across the same stretch. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elfsborg v Kalmar · Swedish Allsvenskan ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. C. GustafssonKAL★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Isak PetterssonELF90 min7.5
  3. Julius Beck88 min7.5
  4. M. KamaraELF1 goal · 88 min7.4
  5. R. WikströmELF90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Elfsborg win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELF
45.2%
Draw
26.0%
KAL
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Elfsborg win was the highest probability; the match result was Elfsborg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-3is the most common scoreline between Elfsborg and Kalmar, landing 3 times across 23 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 14/23recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8league matches at home unbeaten for Elfsborg.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Kalmar.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elfsborg scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kalmar scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elfsborg have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kalmar have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leo Östman has the highest listed average xGOT for Elfsborg at 0.54 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • A. Keita has the highest listed average xGOT for Kalmar at 1.00 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Elfsborg vs Kalmar?
    ELF beat KAL 1-0 in the Swedish Allsvenskan.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    M. Kamara opened the scoring in the 51st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    M. Kamara (51').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Joakim Östling officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ELF vs KAL kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    ELF play Elfsborg on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time. KAL play Kalmar on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.