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Major League SoccerRef: Guido Gonzalez
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

DC United 2-1 New York RB result, stats and report

DC United
Won · xG 1.19
2 – 1
FT 09:55
Lost · xG 2.35
New York RB
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
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Who won DC United vs New York RB?

DC United 2-1 New York RB, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

DCU won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 09:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

DC United 2–1 New York RB

Two MLS sides with identical five-match records meet in a fixture that screams low quality and lower ambition. Connor Maguire breaks it down the only way he knows how.

Key Takeaways
Result

DC United beat New York RB 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

DC United won against the run of the chances: DC United 1.19 to New York RB 2.35 on expected goals, which favoured New York RB.

First Goal
S
45'⚽
Silvan Hefti
TAssist: Tai Baribo
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

DC United 1.19 xGNew York RB 2.35 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

New York RB to win

39%Missed

Result

DC United2:1New York RB

DCU v NYR

Our model leaned New York RB to win at 39%. DC United 2-1 New York RB. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

DC United beat New York RB 2-1 at home in MLS action. Our model favored the visitors at 39 percent probability, and the pick missed. Tai Baribo converted a fifth-minute penalty, then Silvan Hefti added a second before halftime. New York pulled one back in the 68th minute, but DC United held on despite Lucas Bartlett's red card in that same minute. The hosts had won just once in their previous five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

DC United v New York RB · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Andre DozzellDCU★ MOTM90 min6.8
  2. Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyNYR33 min6.7
  3. Justin CheNYR57 min6.7
  4. Kye RowlesDCU90 min6.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives New York RB win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

DCU
34.8%
Draw
26.6%
NYR
38.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%

Full-time forecast audit: New York RB win was the highest probability; the match result was DC United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For New York RB, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 64 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For New York RB, the final recorded goal situation matched 17 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For DC United, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 64 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For DC United, the final recorded goal situation matched 18 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between DC United and New York RB, landing 7 times across 42 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 18/42recorded league meetings saw both teams score (42.9%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for New York RB.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • DC United scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • New York RB scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • DC United have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in DC United vs New York RB?
    DCU beat NYR 2-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tai Baribo opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tai Baribo (5'), Silvan Hefti (50'), Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting (71').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Guido Gonzalez officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    DCU vs NYR kicked off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.