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Major League SoccerRef: Ricardo Fierro
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union result, stats and report

Chicago Fire
Lost · xG 1.12
1 – 3
FT 11:36
Won · xG 2.09
Philadelphia Union
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew · Sat 7 Nov · Philadelphia Union v Toronto · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Chicago Fire to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Chicago Fire winning 1, Philadelphia Union winning 0 and 1 drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

PHI won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 11:36Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire have not won in five MLS matches and cannot keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Philadelphia Union arrive in Illinois having lost none of their last ten.

Key Takeaways
Result

Philadelphia Union won 3-1 away at Chicago Fire.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Chicago Fire 1.12 to Philadelphia Union 2.09 on expected goals.

First Goal
M
44'⚽
Maren Haile-Selassie
NAssist: Noah James Allen
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Chicago Fire 1.12 xGPhiladelphia Union 2.09 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Chicago Fire to win

42%Missed

Result

Chicago Fire1:3Philadelphia Union

CHI v PHI

Our model leaned Chicago Fire to win at 42%. Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Philadelphia Union won 3-1 at Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer. Our model favored Chicago at 42 percent probability, a pick that missed. Chicago took an early lead through Maren Haile-Selassie in the 44th minute, but Jack Elliott's red card in first-half stoppage time shifted momentum decisively. Philadelphia equalized quickly after the restart via Milan Iloski in the 49th minute and controlled the remainder. Chicago's defensive vulnerability proved costly against a Union side that had won four of its last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Milan IloskiPHI★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.6
  2. Mbekezeli MbokaziCHI90 min7.0
  3. Kai WagnerPHI90 min7.0
  4. Robert LewandowskiCHI68 min6.7
  5. Chris BradyCHI90 min6.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CHI
41.6%
Draw
23.4%
PHI
35.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.4%
Over 2.5 goals
66.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Chicago Fire win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Philadelphia Union, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 40 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Philadelphia Union, the final recorded goal situation matched 11 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Chicago Fire, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 40 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Chicago Fire, the final recorded goal situation matched 11 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, landing 4 times across 30 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 19/30recorded league meetings saw both teams score (63.3%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6league matches at home unbeaten for Chicago Fire.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Philadelphia Union.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Chicago Fire scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Philadelphia Union scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
    PHI beat CHI 3-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Maren Haile-Selassie opened the scoring in the 44th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Maren Haile-Selassie (44'), Milan Iloski (49'), Bruno Damiani (55'), Bruno Damiani (67').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Ricardo Fierro officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CHI vs PHI kicked off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Chicago Fire to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    CHI play Chicago Fire on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. PHI play Philadelphia Union on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.