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Major League SoccerRef: Ricardo Fierro
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union result, stats and report

Chicago Fire
Lost · xG 1.12
1 – 3
FT 11:36
Won · xG 2.09
Philadelphia Union
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew · Sat 7 Nov · Philadelphia Union v Toronto · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Chicago FirePhiladelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CHI
41.6%
Draw
23.4%
PHI
35.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.4%
Over 2.5 goals
66.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Chicago Fire win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
23%
35%
41.6%CHI
23.4%Draw
35.0%PHI

Both Teams to Score

67%
Yes 67.4%No 32.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 66.8%No 33.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CHI or draw at 50.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.9%.

Double Chance

1X
50.8%
12
3.5%
X2
45.7%

Half-Time Result

CHI
34.8%
Draw
38.8%
PHI
26.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CHI
Draw
PHI
CHI
24.8%
6.1%
4.2%
Draw
14.9%
12.2%
9.8%
PHI
3.5%
5.3%
19.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.9%
No
89.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.