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Major League SoccerRef: Jair Marrufo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami result, stats and report

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Drew · xG 1.00
1 – 1
FT 22:55
Inter Miami
Drew · xG 1.59
Inter Miami
Match review
Next: Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union · Thu 15 Oct · Inter Miami v New York City · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?

Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Chicago Fire to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Inter Miami won it.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

CHIMIA

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 22:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami shared the spoils in a hard-fought 1-1 MLS draw, with Casemiro heading home a Lionel Messi assist just after the break to cancel out Robert Lewandowski's early opener.

Major League SoccerThu 10 Sept, 01:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
10'⚽
Robert Lewandowski
AAssist: Andrew Gutman
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Chicago Fire 1.00 xGInter Miami 1.59 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Chicago Fire to win

44%Missed

Result

Chicago Fire1:1Inter Miami

CHI v MIA

Our model leaned Chicago Fire to win at 44%. Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1-1 in Major League Soccer. Our model favored Chicago Fire at 44 percent probability, a pick that missed. Both sides scored, continuing a pattern; Chicago Fire had registered both teams finding the net in all five recent matches, while Inter Miami managed it in four of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Chicago Fire v Inter Miami · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lionel Messi★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min7.9
  2. Casemiro1 goal · 90 min7.8
  3. Chris Brady90 min7.5
  4. Robert Lewandowski1 goal · 90 min7.5
  5. Fricio Caicedo78 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Chicago FireInter MiamiMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CHI
43.7%
Draw
22.9%
MIA
33.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.6%
Over 2.5 goals
66.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Chicago Fire win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, landing 2 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (72.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches at home unbeaten for Chicago Fire.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 37league matches away from home unbeaten for Inter Miami.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Chicago Fire scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Inter Miami scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Chicago Fire have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Inter Miami have averaged 2.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Robert Lewandowski has the highest listed average xGOT for Chicago Fire at 0.73 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Lionel Messi has the highest listed average xGOT for Inter Miami at 0.89 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
    CHI and MIA drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Robert Lewandowski opened the scoring in the 10th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Robert Lewandowski (10'), Casemiro (48').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jair Marrufo officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CHI vs MIA kicked off on Thursday, 10 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Chicago Fire to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    CHI play Chicago Fire on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time. MIA play Inter Miami on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.