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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW18Ref: Glenn Nyberg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AIK 1-1 Mjällby result, stats and report

AIK
Drew · xG 1.83
1 – 1
FT 09:55
Drew · xG 1.66
Mjällby
Next: Sirius v AIK · Sat 24 Oct · Mjällby v Hammarby · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AIKMjällbySwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives AIK win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AIK
45.4%
Draw
24.1%
MJÄ
30.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Full-time forecast audit: AIK win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
24%
30%
45.4%AIK
24.1%Draw
30.5%MJÄ

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.2%No 39.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AIK or draw at 58.4%; the most likely half-time state is AIK leading at half-time at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.2%.

Double Chance

1X
58.4%
12
5.2%
X2
36.4%

Half-Time Result

AIK
41.4%
Draw
35.9%
MJÄ
22.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AIK
Draw
MJÄ
AIK
29.9%
6.1%
2.6%
Draw
15.6%
13.5%
8.7%
MJÄ
4.1%
5.3%
14.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.