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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW18Ref: Glenn Nyberg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AIK 1-1 Mjällby result, stats and report

AIK
Drew · xG 1.83
1 – 1
FT 09:55
Drew · xG 1.66
Mjällby
Next: Sirius v AIK · Sat 24 Oct · Mjällby v Hammarby · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won AIK vs Mjällby?

AIK 1-1 Mjällby, full time in Swedish Allsvenskan. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and AIK won it.

Match Review · published 16 Sept 2026, 20:20 BST

AIK 1-1 Mjällby: Visitors Pinch A Point With 71% Possession But Fail To Convert Dominance Into Victory

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Mjällby dominated the ball and outshot AIK on the night, but a Jacob Bergström header gave the hosts an early lead that Axel Kouame cancelled out before half-time. A draw was probably the right result, even if neither side will be satisfied.

Read the review
How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 09:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

AIK 1–1 Mjällby

Mjällby dominated the ball and outshot AIK on the night, but a Jacob Bergström header gave the hosts an early lead that Axel Kouame cancelled out before half-time. A draw was probably the right result, even if neither side will be satisfied.

Key Takeaways
Result

AIK and Mjällby drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
19'⚽
Jacob Bergström
ÁAssist: Áki Samuelsen
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

AIK 1.83 xGMjällby 1.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

AIK to win

45%Missed

Result

AIK1:1Mjällby

AIK v MJÄ

Our model leaned AIK to win at 45%. AIK 1-1 Mjällby. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

AIK drew 1-1 with Mjällby in the Swedish Allsvenskan. Our model favored an AIK win at 45% probability, which missed. Mjällby struck first through Jacob Bergström in the 19th minute, but Axel Kouame leveled for AIK before halftime. The result ended AIK's recent run of three wins in five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

AIK v Mjällby · Swedish Allsvenskan ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Abdihakim AliAIK★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min8.0
  2. Abdullah IqbalMJÄ90 min7.8
  3. Kristoffer NordfeldtAIK90 min7.8
  4. Axel KouameAIK1 goal · 90 min7.7
  5. Axel NorénMJÄ90 min7.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives AIK win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AIK
45.4%
Draw
24.1%
MJÄ
30.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Full-time forecast audit: AIK win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between AIK and Mjällby, landing 4 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 26league matches away from home unbeaten for Mjällby.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • AIK scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mjällby scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • AIK have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mjällby have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Linus Carlstrand has the highest listed average xGOT for AIK at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jacob Bergström has the highest listed average xGOT for Mjällby at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in AIK vs Mjällby?
    AIK and MJÄ drew 1-1 in the Swedish Allsvenskan.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jacob Bergström opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jacob Bergström (19'), Axel Kouame (40').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Glenn Nyberg officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    AIK vs MJÄ kicked off on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    AIK play Sirius on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. MJÄ play Mjällby on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.