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Tromsø generated 19 expected goals across 14 covered matches in the 2026 season, converting these chances into 14 actual goals. Their attack underperformed the expected model by 5 goals, suggesting finishing efficiency below what their shot quality warranted.
Defensively, Tromsø conceded 21.1 expected goals over 14 covered fixtures, with 25 goals actually conceded. This 3.9-goal overperformance against the model indicates their defensive record was worse than underlying chance prevention metrics suggested.
Covered sample: 24 scored from 19.0 xG, 25 conceded from 21.1 xGA over 14 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Rosenborg Ballklub · X
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 47 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Tromsø | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 20 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 30 |
Live 2026 table.