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Across the 15 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, SJ Earthquakes scored 29 from 27.3 expected goals and conceded 32 from 24.8 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.7 goals and the defence conceded 7.2 more than expected. Coverage is 15 of 15 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 29 scored from 27.3 xG, 32 conceded from 24.8 xGA over 15 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
