Manchester United xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Manchester United xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:02 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Manchester United scored 8 from 7.7 expected goals and conceded 4 from 8.1 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 0.3 goals and the defence conceded 4.1 fewer than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored8

Expected (xG)7.7

Overperformed by 0.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded4

Expected against (xGA)8.1

Conceded 4.1 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Manchester United better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 8 scored from 7.7 xG, 4 conceded from 8.1 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.