Manchester United xG 2026/27

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The Manchester United xG picture

Updated 17 Sept 2026, 13:32 BST

Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Manchester United scored 7 from 6.1 expected goals and conceded 7 from 3.5 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 0.9 goals and the defence conceded 3.5 more than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored7

Expected (xG)6.1

Overperformed by 0.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)3.5

Conceded 3.5 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Manchester United better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 7 scored from 6.1 xG, 7 conceded from 3.5 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.