Excelsior xG 2026/27

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The Excelsior xG picture

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 07:30 GMT

Excelsior generated 12.1 expected goals across 11 matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 11 actual goals. Their attack underperformed the model by 3.9 goals, suggesting finishing efficiency below what their shot quality warranted.

Defensively, Excelsior conceded 19.9 expected goals but allowed 28 actual goals across the same period. This 8.1-goal overperformance against the model indicates their defence was considerably more porous than underlying chance quality suggested.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

11 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored16

Expected (xG)12.1

Overperformed by 3.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded28

Expected against (xGA)19.9

Conceded 8.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Excelsior better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 16 scored from 12.1 xG, 28 conceded from 19.9 xGA over 11 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.