Burnley xG 2025/26
Recent form
L-L-L-L-L
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
D 1-1 v Wolves
24 May 2026
Next fixture
v Notts County
Sat 8 Aug, 15:00
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 2 Aug 2026, 16:01 BST
The Burnley xG picture
UpdatedAcross the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Burnley scored 5 from 5.2 expected goals and conceded 12 from 11.6 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 0.2 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 more than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals versus expected, 2025/26
6 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored5
Expected (xG)5.2
Underperformed by 0.2 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded12
Expected against (xGA)11.6
Conceded 0.4 more than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent
What the numbers mean
Reviewed with every data refresh
Are Burnley better or worse than their results?
Covered sample: 5 scored from 5.2 xG, 12 conceded from 11.6 xGA over 6 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.