Ajax xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Ajax xG picture

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 05:29 GMT

Across the 11 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Ajax scored 30 from 24.6 expected goals and conceded 13 from 12.6 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 5.4 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 more than expected. Coverage is 11 of 11 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

11 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored30

Expected (xG)24.6

Overperformed by 5.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded13

Expected against (xGA)12.6

Conceded 0.4 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Ajax better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 30 scored from 24.6 xG, 13 conceded from 12.6 xGA over 11 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.