Ajax xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Ajax xG picture

Updated 19 Sept 2026, 22:54 BST

Across the 7 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Ajax scored 21 from 17.7 expected goals and conceded 9 from 6.7 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 3.3 goals and the defence conceded 2.3 more than expected. Coverage is 7 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored21

Expected (xG)17.7

Overperformed by 3.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)6.7

Conceded 2.3 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Ajax better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 21 scored from 17.7 xG, 9 conceded from 6.7 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.