Paul Nebel xG
FIT
8Apps
3Goals
1.7xG
0Assists
7.2Rating
Club
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Role
Attacking Midfield
Shirt 8
Verified scope
2025/2026 · 8 apps
Derived from match records
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 16 Jul 2026, 11:55 BST
The Nebel finishing picture
UpdatedPaul Nebel has 1.7 expected goals and 3 actual goals in the covered sample of 8 appearances, a surplus of 1.3.
Output has run ahead of chance quality, which the model treats as a hot run rather than a new baseline.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 5 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.120 Feb 2026
0.37 Mar 2026
0.115 Mar 2026
0.622 Mar 2026
0.64 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals3
Expected goals (xG)1.7
Finishing delta+1.3
Assists0
Model readHot run, not a new baseline
Finishing profile
Shot coordinates: ingest pending, dots land when shot-level data arrives
Shots in sample10
On target6 (60%)
Goals3
xG per shot0.17
Conversion30% of 10 attempts