FSV Mainz 05 xG 2026/27

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The FSV Mainz 05 xG picture

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 GMT

FSV Mainz 05 generated 16.1 expected goals across 8 matches in the 2026/27 season, whilst conceding 12.8. Their attack delta of 0.9 suggests marginal underperformance relative to chances created, whilst their defence delta of 4.2 indicates stronger defensive solidity than underlying metrics might suggest.

Over the covered period, Mainz scored 10 goals from their expected output and conceded 17 across 17 matches tracked. These figures provide context for their underlying performance in both phases of play.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored17

Expected (xG)16.1

Overperformed by 0.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded17

Expected against (xGA)12.8

Conceded 4.2 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are FSV Mainz 05 better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 17 scored from 16.1 xG, 17 conceded from 12.8 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.