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FSV Mainz 05 generated 5.9 expected goals across 3 matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 6 goals. Their attack delta of 0.1 indicates finishing marginally above expected levels. Defensively, the side conceded 3 expected goals and 3 actual goals across the same fixtures, with a defence delta of 0 suggesting performance aligned precisely with underlying metrics.
Overall, Mainz have scored 10 goals from 3 covered matches whilst conceding 3. These figures reflect a team performing close to their underlying chance creation and prevention, with only marginal variance between expected and actual outcomes in both phases of play.
Covered sample: 6 scored from 5.9 xG, 3 conceded from 3.0 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Elversberg | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 4 |
Live 2026/27 table.
1. FSV Mainz 05 ยท X
Eintracht Frankfurt ยท X
