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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
West Ham United dominated possession and chances but could only draw 1-1 with QPR at home, with Jarrod Bowen's 70th-minute goal cancelled out by a first-half penalty, and a late missed spot-kick summing up a deeply frustrating night.
West Ham United dominated possession and chances but could only draw 1-1 with QPR at home, with Jarrod Bowen's 70th-minute goal cancelled out by a first-half penalty, and a late missed spot-kick summing up a deeply frustrating night.
EFL ChampionshipFri 9 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
West Ham United and QPR drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
70'⚽
Jarrod Bowen
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham United 1.84 xGQPR 1.34 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
West Ham United to win
42%Missed
Result
1:1
West Ham United v QPR
Our model leaned West Ham United to win at 42%. West Ham United 1-1 QPR. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
West Ham and QPR drew 1-1 at London Stadium in a match that turned on set pieces. QPR's Nicolas Madsen converted a penalty in the 18th minute, but Jarrod Bowen equalized for West Ham in the 70th. Bowen then missed a penalty in stoppage time that would have won it. Our model favored West Ham at 42 percent probability; the pick missed. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede in recent fixtures, with West Ham recording both-teams-to-score in all five recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives West Ham United win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
West Ham United
42.0%
Draw
26.1%
QPR
31.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.9%
Full-time forecast audit: West Ham United win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For QPR, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 0% win, 66.7% draw, 33.3% loss.Verified final
For QPR, the final recorded goal situation matched 28 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For West Ham United, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 33.3% win, 66.7% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For West Ham United, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 8 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
3league matches at home unbeaten for West Ham United.Immutable lifecycle evidence
4league matches away from home unbeaten for QPR.Immutable lifecycle evidence
QPR scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
QPR have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Joël Piroe has the highest listed average xGOT for West Ham United at 0.84 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Rumarn Burrell has the highest listed average xGOT for QPR at 0.55 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in West Ham United vs QPR?