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Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense result, stats and report

Vitória Guimarães
Drew · xG 1.14
1 – 1
FT 03:35
Drew · xG 0.58
Moreirense
Next: Gil Vicente v Vitória Guimarães · Mon 2 Nov · Estoril v Moreirense · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense?

Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 03:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Moreirense

Vitória Guimarães rescued a point deep into injury time through Toni Borevković, cancelling out Tiago Andrade's second-half opener for Moreirense in a game that told you everything about where both clubs are right now.

Key Takeaways
Result

Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
T
52'⚽
Tiago Andrade
LAssist: Leonardo Vonić
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitória Guimarães 1.14 xGMoreirense 0.58 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Vitória Guimarães to win

57%Missed

Result

Vitória Guimarães1:1Moreirense

VDG v MOE

Our model leaned Vitória Guimarães to win at 57%. Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Vitória Guimarães drew 1-1 with Moreirense in Liga Portugal. Our model backed a Vitória win at 57 percent probability; the pick missed. Moreirense went ahead through Tiago Andrade in the 52nd minute, but Toni Borevković levelled for Vitória deep into stoppage time at 90+6. The result extended Vitória's winless run to five matches, though both sides did find the net as expected given recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Vitória Guimarães v Moreirense · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Arnel Jakupovic★ MOTM90 min6.9
  2. Lohann Doucet57 min6.7
  3. Victor Gonçalves Andersson18 min6.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Vitória Guimarães win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VDG
56.9%
Draw
23.2%
MOE
19.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.3%
Over 2.5 goals
51.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Vitória Guimarães win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense, landing 7 times across 22 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 11/22recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Vitória Guimarães.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Vitória Guimarães scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Moreirense scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Vitória Guimarães have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Moreirense have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gustavo Silva has the highest listed average xGOT for Vitória Guimarães at 0.38 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leonardo Vonić has the highest listed average xGOT for Moreirense at 0.88 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense?
    VDG and MOE drew 1-1 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tiago Andrade opened the scoring in the 52nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tiago Andrade (52'), Toni Borevković (96').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    VDG vs MOE kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    3 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    VDG play Gil Vicente on Monday, 2 November 2026 UK time. MOE play Estoril on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.