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Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense result, stats and report

Vitória Guimarães
Drew · xG 1.14
1 – 1
FT 03:35
Drew · xG 0.58
Moreirense
Next: Gil Vicente v Vitória Guimarães · Mon 2 Nov · Moreirense v Estrela Amadora · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Vitória GuimarãesMoreirenseLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Vitória Guimarães win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VDG
56.9%
Draw
23.2%
MOE
19.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.3%
Over 2.5 goals
51.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Vitória Guimarães win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
23%
20%
56.9%VDG
23.2%Draw
19.9%MOE

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.3%No 51.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.1%No 48.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VDG or draw at 67.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.7%.

Double Chance

1X
67.5%
12
7.1%
X2
25.4%

Half-Time Result

VDG
42.9%
Draw
44.5%
MOE
12.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VDG
Draw
MOE
VDG
38.1%
3.8%
0.8%
Draw
23.9%
15.2%
5.5%
MOE
3.0%
3.9%
5.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.7%
No
89.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.