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Bundesliga · MW3 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, BerlinRef: Timo Gerach
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04 result, stats and report

Union Berlin
Lost · xG 2.24
1 – 3
FT 15:15
Won · xG 2.42
Schalke 04
Next: FC Augsburg v Union Berlin · Sat 24 Oct · 1. FC Köln v Schalke 04 · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Union Berlin vs Schalke 04?

Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

S04 won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 15:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Union Berlin 1–3 Schalke 04

Schalke 04 came to Berlin and left with all three points, winning 3-1 in a match that exposed everything wrong with Union Berlin right now. Connor Maguire pulls no punches in his post-match breakdown.

Key Takeaways
Result

Schalke 04 won 3-1 away at Union Berlin.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
25'⚽
Robin Gosens
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin 2.24 xGSchalke 04 2.42 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Schalke 04 to win

41%Matched

Result

Union Berlin1:3Schalke 04

Union Berlin v S04

Our model called Schalke 04 to win at 41%. Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Union Berlin fell to Schalke 04 by three goals to one at the Alten Försterei in a Bundesliga encounter that validated our model's pre-match assessment. Our AI engine favored Schalke at 41 percent probability, and the visitors delivered a convincing away performance to secure the win. The result extended Union's recent struggles; they have won just once in their last five outings. Schalke, by contrast, arrived in strong form with three wins from their previous five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Union Berlin v Schalke 04 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Tim SkarkeUnion Berlin★ MOTM1 goal · 14 min7.8
  2. Loris KariusS0490 min7.7
  3. Nikola KaticS0490 min7.7
  4. Maximilian Wöber1 goal · 10 min7.6
  5. Adil Aouchiche1 goal · 90 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Schalke 04 win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Union Berlin
33.4%
Draw
25.3%
S04
41.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Schalke 04 win was the highest probability; the match result was Schalke 04 win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Union Berlin and Schalke 04, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Union Berlin.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Union Berlin scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Schalke 04 scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Union Berlin have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Schalke 04 have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath has the highest listed average xGOT for Union Berlin at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Moussa Sylla has the highest listed average xGOT for Schalke 04 at 0.46 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Union Berlin vs Schalke 04?
    S04 beat Union Berlin 3-1 in the Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Robin Gosens opened the scoring in the 25th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Robin Gosens (25'), Adil Aouchiche (46'), Tim Skarke (96'), Maximilian Wöber (103').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Timo Gerach officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Union Berlin vs S04 kicked off on Friday, 11 September 2026 UK time at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Union Berlin play FC Augsburg on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. S04 play 1. FC Köln on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.