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Ligue 1 · MW5 Stadium de Toulouse, ToulouseRef: Hakim Ben El Hadj
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre result, stats and report

Toulouse
Toulouse
Won · xG 2.26
3 – 2
FT 08:55
Le Havre
Lost · xG 2.73
Le Havre
Match review
Next: Toulouse v Troyes · Sat 24 Oct · Marseille v Le Havre · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Toulouse won it 3–2

ToulouseLe Havre

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 08:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Toulouse came from behind to beat Le Havre 3-2 in Ligue 1, with Josh Maja and Ally Samatta both scoring after the break to seal three points in a chaotic second half.

Ligue 1Sat 19 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Toulouse beat Le Havre 3-2 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
C
51'⚽
Casper Tengstedt
TAssist: Thomas Jørgensen
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse 2.26 xGLe Havre 2.73 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Toulouse to win

43%Matched

Result

Toulouse3:2Le Havre

Toulouse v Le Havre

Our model called Toulouse to win at 43%. Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Toulouse beat Le Havre 3-2 at the Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1. Our model backed a Toulouse win at 43 percent probability, and the pick landed. Casper Tengstedt scored twice in quick succession after the break, converting a penalty in the 49th minute and adding a second goal two minutes later. Josh Maja pulled one back for Le Havre in the 71st minute, but it proved insufficient. Both teams continued their pattern of conceding; Toulouse have seen both sides score in all five recent matches, while Le Havre registered goals at both ends in four of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Toulouse v Le Havre · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Casper Tengstedt★ MOTM2 goals · 72 min8.0
  2. Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun Maja1 goal · 82 min7.8
  3. Cristian Cásseres Jr.Toulouse1 assist · 90 min7.5
  4. Rafik MessaliToulouse72 min7.3
  5. Guillaume RestesToulouse90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ToulouseLe HavreLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Toulouse win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Toulouse
43.0%
Draw
27.9%
Le Havre
29.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.9%
Over 2.5 goals
45.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Toulouse win was the highest probability; the match result was Toulouse win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between Toulouse and Le Havre, landing 2 times across 7 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/7recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.1%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Le Havre.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toulouse scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Le Havre scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toulouse have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Le Havre have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Christ Tapé has the highest listed average xGOT for Toulouse at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Josh Maja has the highest listed average xGOT for Le Havre at 0.87 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
    Toulouse beat Le Havre 3-2 in the Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Casper Tengstedt opened the scoring in the 49th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Casper Tengstedt (49'), Casper Tengstedt (51'), Josh Maja (71'), Thomas Jørgensen (79'), Ally Samatta (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Hakim Ben El Hadj officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Toulouse vs Le Havre kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Toulouse play Troyes on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Le Havre play Marseille on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.