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Ligue 1 · MW5 Stadium de Toulouse, ToulouseRef: Hakim Ben El Hadj
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre result, stats and report

Toulouse
Won · xG 2.26
3 – 2
FT 08:55
Lost · xG 2.73
Le Havre
Next: Toulouse v Troyes · Sat 24 Oct · Marseille v Le Havre · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ToulouseLe HavreLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Toulouse win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Toulouse
43.0%
Draw
27.9%
Le Havre
29.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.9%
Over 2.5 goals
45.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Toulouse win was the highest probability; the match result was Toulouse win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
28%
29%
43.0%Toulouse
27.9%Draw
29.2%Le Havre

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 49.9%No 50.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.4%No 54.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Toulouse or draw at 51.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
51.1%
12
9.1%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

Toulouse
31.3%
Draw
45.2%
Le Havre
23.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Toulouse
Draw
Le Havre
Toulouse
24.4%
5.2%
1.8%
Draw
15.0%
19.1%
11.5%
Le Havre
2.1%
5.8%
15.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.