This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
We use cookies to improve your experience. Essential cookies are always active. Non-essential cookies (functional, analytics, advertising) require your consent. Privacy Policy
Should you back Tottenham Hotspur or Newcastle United?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United kicks off UK time in the Premier League. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 45% modelled probability.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Should you back Tottenham Hotspur or Newcastle United?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United kicks off UK time in the Premier League. The match is at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 45% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Tottenham Hotspur winning 0, Newcastle United winning 1 and 1 drawn.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Provider prediction · not a Tip
Match intelligence
Tottenham HotspurvNewcastle United·Premier League
The provider forecast gives Tottenham Hotspur win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip was published for this fixture.
Tottenham Hotspur
40.7%
Draw
25.3%
Newcastle United
34.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.5%
Over 2.5 goals
55.0%
Provider forecast checked ·
Team comparison · recent form
Tottenham Hotspur: 6 matches · Newcastle United: 6
Recent team comparison. Tottenham Hotspur sample 6; Newcastle United sample 6.
Measure
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
Goals / game
1.67
2
Conceded / game
1.33
1.5
xG / game
1.18
1.47
xG conceded / game
1.28
1.87
1.67Goals / game2
1.33Conceded / game1.5
1.18xG / game1.47
1.28xG conceded / game1.87
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
📊 Match preview and data context
Tottenham host Newcastle at their stadium on 29 August at 16:30 UTC in a Premier League opener. Spurs have won two of their last five matches while Newcastle won just one; both sides show 40 percent BTTS rates. In their last two meetings, Newcastle took one win and they drew once, giving the visitors some recent encouragement. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United · Premier League ·
full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled
1474 correct from 2947 resolved picks
Competition scope
all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:
Period:
to
50%
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Match facts before kick-off
Useful historical patterns from SportMonks, with the evidence window stated in each claim.
1-2 is the most common scoreline between Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United, landing 6 times across 24 league meetings on record.
Both teams scored in 17 of 24 recorded league meetings (70.8%).
Tottenham Hotspur are unbeaten in their last 3 league matches at home.
Tottenham Hotspur scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).
Newcastle United scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).
Tottenham Hotspur have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.
Newcastle United have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.
Richarlison has the highest listed average xGOT for Tottenham Hotspur at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.
Nick Woltemade has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 0.55 across the provider's evidence window.
Latest pre-match snapshot · Scope: league matches · Source: SportMonks Match Facts · snapshot . Match Facts feed current. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Tottenham Hotspur recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
Match
Result
Goals
xG
1
W
5
0.94
2
L
0
0.52
3
W
1
1.15
4
L
1
1.73
5
D
1
1.94
6
W
2
0.84
Newcastle UnitedNewest first
W3 / 2.1
D2 / 1.2
L0 / 0.3
W3 / 1.5
D1 / 1.3
W3 / 2.3
Goals · outlined xG
Newcastle United recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
Match
Result
Goals
xG
1
W
3
2.11
2
D
2
1.21
3
L
0
0.35
4
W
3
1.50
5
D
1
1.32
6
W
3
2.30
Tottenham Hotspur generated 7.1 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 2.9 above that chance total. Newcastle United generated 8.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 3.2 above that chance total.
Watch & follow
How to watch Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United
Fixture and country specific
Verified broadcaster listings for your country, checked without guessing from competition rights. A station link is a broadcaster service page, not a promise of a free stream or a pre-opened event.
Checking listings for your country…
Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.
Published Match Preview
Tottenham's Home Fragility Meets Newcastle's Away Problem: Premier League Preview
By Elena Santos · ·
Marcus Vale analyses the data behind Tottenham vs Newcastle on 29 August 2026, finding two teams whose underlying numbers tell a very different story to their recent results.
18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 004562a1-736d-4674-91b3-b7bb2ce28469 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Frequently asked questions
▸When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United and where is it played?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United takes place on Saturday 29 August at 17:30 (UK time) in the Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
▸What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?
Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 45% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
▸What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United?
In their last 2 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 0, Newcastle United won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
▸How can I watch Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?
Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Premier League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
▸Are SportSignals predictions for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United free?
Yes. Our AI predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.