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Premier League · MW5 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, LondonRef: Samuel Barrott
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
Lost · xG 1.45
2 – 3
FT 04:05
Aston Villa
Won · xG 1.53
Aston Villa
Match review
Next: Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur · Sat 24 Oct · Aston Villa v Viking · Wed 21 Oct
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Who won Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?

Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Tottenham Hotspur winning 1, Aston Villa winning 1 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

Aston Villa won it 3–2

Tottenham HotspurAston Villa

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 04:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur dominated possession, corners, and shots but lost 3-2 to Aston Villa at home, with two late goals unable to overturn a Villa side that took their chances ruthlessly. Connor Maguire breaks down exactly how this happened.

Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept, 12:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Aston Villa won 3-2 away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
45'⚽
Johan Manzambi
BAssist: Boubacar Kamara
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham Hotspur 1.45 xGAston Villa 1.53 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Tottenham Hotspur to win

38%Missed

Result

Tottenham Hotspur2:3Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa

Our model leaned Tottenham Hotspur to win at 38%. Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Tottenham host Aston Villa on September 19 at 11:30 UTC at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs have won one of their last two meetings with Villa, though form is mixed; Aston Villa arrive in stronger shape, having won four of their last five league matches. Both sides have shown attacking intent in recent games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Johan Manzambi★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 72 min8.4
  2. Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa1 goal · 90 min7.9
  3. Savinho90 min7.7
  4. Zion Suzuki90 min7.6
  5. Mohammed KudusTottenham Hotspur1 assist · 44 min7.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Tottenham HotspurAston VillaPremier League

The provider forecast gives Tottenham Hotspur win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Tottenham Hotspur
37.9%
Draw
25.1%
Aston Villa
37.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.5%
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Tottenham Hotspur win was the highest probability; the match result was Aston Villa win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa, landing 5 times across 20 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 11/20recorded league meetings saw both teams score (55%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Tottenham Hotspur.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tottenham Hotspur scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Aston Villa scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tottenham Hotspur have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Aston Villa have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Victor Lindelöf has the highest listed average xGOT for Aston Villa at 0.88 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
    Aston Villa beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 in the Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Johan Manzambi opened the scoring in the 49th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Johan Manzambi (49'), Nicolas Jackson (67'), Emiliano Buendía (79'), Conor Gallagher (86'), Jan Paul van Hecke (98').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Samuel Barrott officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Tottenham Hotspur play Chelsea on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Aston Villa play Viking on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.