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Major League SoccerRef: Malik Badawi
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Toronto 1-1 New York City result, stats and report

Toronto
Drew · xG 0.23
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.30
New York City
Next: Toronto v CF Montréal · Sat 10 Oct · Chicago Fire v New York City · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TorontoNew York CityMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Toronto win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TOR
36.9%
Draw
27.7%
NYC
35.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
28%
35%
36.9%TOR
27.7%Draw
35.4%NYC

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.2%No 46.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.4%No 51.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates TOR or draw at 46.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
46.7%
12
8.8%
X2
44.5%

Half-Time Result

TOR
31.4%
Draw
41.7%
NYC
26.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
TOR
Draw
NYC
TOR
22.0%
5.7%
3.4%
Draw
12.7%
14.6%
13.8%
NYC
2.7%
5.3%
19.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.