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Major League SoccerRef: Tori Penso
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Toronto 4-4 Chicago Fire result, stats and report

Toronto
Drew · xG 0.91
4 – 4
FT
Drew · xG 1.11
Chicago Fire
Next: Toronto v Orlando City · Thu 15 Oct · Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TorontoChicago FireMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TOR
29.0%
Draw
27.1%
CHI
43.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
27%
44%
29.0%TOR
27.1%Draw
43.9%CHI

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.0%No 49.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CHI or draw at 50.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.6%.

Double Chance

1X
41.3%
12
7.9%
X2
50.8%

Half-Time Result

TOR
26.5%
Draw
40.7%
CHI
32.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
TOR
Draw
CHI
TOR
16.5%
5.5%
4.3%
Draw
11.0%
13.9%
14.6%
CHI
2.6%
6.6%
25.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.